With the invasion of Ukraine, I thought it would scare a lot of investors. The sanctions on Russia affecting many European countries hasn’t effected how well the S&P 500 is doing as well as DOW and NASDAQ. Also the energy sector was the only thing in the green at yesterdays close, someone explain that as well.

PS: also theres a lot of comments so if you comment can you not say the same thing someone else said bc im trying to read everything yall say. Thx:)

Two major catalysts playing out for semis right now:

• Fed raising rates.
• Russia sanctions and possible invasion cutting off key semiconductor materials.

In the next few months, these will play out and really pummel the semi stocks. But the good news is these are temporary events. After 1-2 years, we'll find a way around Russian chokehold on these key materials, and inflation will probably be slowed. While that's happening, covid is still subsiding and innovation continue it's relentless march of driving productivity forward.

To be clear, I'm not saying to buy the dip right now. But I'm tempted to start a "eat ramen", "get a third job", "cancel Netflix" regime for myself to start preparing as much as possible to start buying mid or later this year.

These semi stocks are becoming the new FANGS, and this upcoming dip this year might be the best chance to buy them before they rocket into FANG status.

OK here's the cons in my theory:

• China could still be a ticking time bomb. Most experts say their lockdown strategy is not viable for Omicron. Could be their supply chain is a lot more broken than we realize. Plus that real estate problem is still ongoing and their president is kinda insane.

• The Fed could freak out and raise rates too quickly, putting us into a recession.

• Some industry reports say oversupply of semiconductors could happen as early as 2023.

(Disclosure not investment advice and I'm long on NVDA AMD QCOMM MRVL TSM and maybe Int)

I'm imagining it happening like the infamous and recent, "Josh fight" and how now that it's over, everyone and their deranged uncle Jeff is trying to replicate it for one reason or another.

I think the term, and just the overall situation in general regarding a short squeeze, will be overused and/or called out much more frequently from now on. As those that missed out are desperate for another one, or those that just think it will happen again because they just don't understand how rare of circumstances they require.

I think we will be seeing a lot of posts about, "potential squeeze this" and "potential squeeze that" in the next coming weeks/months.

Edit: spelling and grammar.

Edit II: THANK YOU! 2 Y/O ACCOUNT AND THIS IS MY FIRST AWARD EVER!!

I am heavily invested in tech. Although my investment are diversified I am really worried about what could happen if China decides to invade Taiwan. My worry is that this is going to happen soon and my understanding is that the semiconductor industry could be heavily affected, making the tech stocks to collapse. Is my worry unjustified? Are there alternatives for semiconductor manufacturing outside Taiwan that can actually fulfill the worldwide need of semiconductors? Is there sufficient resilience?

Wasn't it supposed to collapse and cause massive debt default waves and potentially crash the markets?

What happened there and why has the topic been completely out of the spotlight - what has it been? One year?

Just interested to know if I'm missing something or the CCP effectively just swept this under the rug

Holy shit. The nsadaq is down a whole 2.5% right now. SP500 is almost 1.5 and the Dow is down a little under 1%. Whats going on? I know the market is overvalued right now, but I didn’t think it would drop this fast or this soon. Is there another reason so many people sold today?

Two off of the top of my head. Crumbl Cookie & Chick-fil-A. Both are top tier restaurant/food service establishments that have almost cult like followings and are always busy. Both have excellent products and service. I would be curious to see the books for both of these companies but I imagine they would he home runs if they were to IPO. What other companies would you invest in that are not currently publicly traded?

I’m wondering what traders on the NYSE floor do nowadays with electronic trading being much more prevalent. What edge over the market do they get by being there?

I’ve watched some of the CNBC videos and you can still see kinda a lot of people in the background working on the floor.

Was doing a bit of studying on the recent history of the stock market and this question arose. Stocks plunged for about a month at the outset of Covid. Hundreds of thousands of lives were lost, millions laid off, business shuttered, protests against police violence erupting across the nation, etc. The world was literally burning that year yet the stock market somehow kept climbing despite turmoil with the DOW hitting an all-time high. Can somebody please educate me how in hell this happened?

I thought of this as someone else commented about investing in Apple early would make you a multimillionaire today. Are you investing in any company today with similar hopes?

I know some examples would be drug companies or maybe a startup EV company. I think many of these long shots are facing an uphill battle these days. Investors are moving to cash and bonds...but maybe now is the time to invest when others are afraid? Would be interesting to learn about some of these companies.

How does the S&P500 Keep such a postive return rate? I know the long-term average return is 10%. Last year it was much higher, but and the market is at an all time high if I'm not mistaken. My question is how is the S&P500 able to keep such returns? I know they swap out company stocks when they don't so great, but surely that should even out, right? Nothing can climb forever.

I understand DCA in theory SHOULD average out over say a decade (you'll get some highs and some lows), but if the market is at an all time high, why should I keep investing in it now? I know no one has a crystal ball and it could keep going even higher and I'm losing out money as well, but the market MUST have a ceiling, right?

I was DCA'ing weekly into an S&P500 ETF and have gotten a healthy return, but I can't see how it can will keep climbing, so I've halted investing into that and am starting into Treasury stocks which will have a significantly less return, but should be safer (in theory).

Can someone explain how the S&P500 keeps climbing? And how it can have such a positive return on average? Thank you!

Recently I bought more shares of a company called CPSL I had originally been holding 100k shares that I bought in 2018 but I purchased another 61k in March 2021 I’m just curious if I sell will my full portfolio be taxed long term or short term or will they split it up?

With Twitter being a perfect example, how can a company go private if there’s still shares they need to buy back? Say for example 1 person buys 98% of the companies shares, but a person who holds 2% doesn’t want to sell or multiple share holders don’t want to sell, how can they be forced to take a buy-out?

I was looking this question up because I’m currently invested in a stock OXY where Berkshire has bought 21% of the public shares with a goal to buy 50%+ public shares. Anyways the only answer I found is the person or company has to buy majority of public shares and then will make a set-price to buy off the rest. So how can a company go private when they haven’t bought all the shares back or if a shareholder that for example, has 3,000 shares refuses to sell and wants to be a >1% shareholder? How is that legal to force them to sell when technically they own part of the company?

I follow a lot of earnings. Pretty much all the big ones. Every time there's an earnings report, it's like the stock picks a direction and either plummets or rockets instantly and that's the way it goes the rest of the session. How the hell do investors or institutions read an earnings report and make a decision SECONDS after the report is released. I will never understand it. Usually I wait until a Twitter announcement or Edgar filing, and glance over the financial details for a few minutes. By that time, the stock is already up or down 10% after hours. What is going on here?

I heard a commentor somewhere mention it in passing, but they didn't explain it in detail.

They hypothesized that people would have calls on NVDA which went up a lot in the after hours last night, but that today "they" (market makers/hedge funds/someone?) would push the price down to avoid having to pay out for those calls.

Can someone explain this in more depth?

Also, can someone who actually worked in an institution/hedge fund/market maker verify whether they ACTUALLY do this? It sounds very odd, is it illegal? It also seems dangerous because if they think a stock should go up, and they force the price down by SELLING TONS OF SHARES, it seems like a risky gamble because what if it doesn't work and now they have even less shares.

I feel like when this idea gets brought up, it's always by people who have no experience working in the industry, so how would they actually know it happens? What if it's just a conspiracy like "oh the bad guys came and pushed down the price of my stock and that's why I lost money".

Does anyone have links to interviews or youtube videos where industry people actually say this really happens? (No offense but if a person has never worked in the industry, how would they know that this kind of stuff happens? It would be like trusting a person with no military experience to tell you about secret strategies only people deep in the military would know)

So I do not think we will see an exact rollout like 2008 but something with a similar endpoint: We enter a recession for many reasons and we get into a situation where not enough entities (for residential it would be people and for commercial it would be companies) pay their rent/mortgage. The chance of a recession in the next 2 years is much higher than not. There are only a few people out there saying there is a chance of no recession - but even they all say it is more probably than normal we have a recession in the coming 2 years. The debate kind of has shifted recently to how bad the recession will be. Hell... Some people like me think we are already in a recession right now (last time I check the definition of recession was 2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth and we already saw that in 2022).

What stocks/etfs or other investments should a person put their money if they think the time is soon for people/companies to not be able to pay their bills. Not a technical analysis at all but my local casino is dead quiet. The local bar is quiet. The layoffs in my area are beginning already. Part of me thinks to just buy the short leveraged Nasdaq Monday (SQQQ) - and if anyone cares to know... SQQQ is at a 1 year low as of recently. The VIX is near a 2 year low as of Friday. Things will probably be ugly this next few weeks in all honesty. The only saving grace would be an announcement of more layoffs to come, which would spike many company's stock price - until the bloodbath begins and less have a job. I know I am ranting but hear me out on my question: Where should those of us who think real estate in general is a bust over the next 2 years invest?

Hello everyone, this is simply a question, I am still going to buy VEQT regardless of what gets said here, I just want to learn.

How would an investor come out of such an event unscathed, or even benefit? I would imagine that the stocks of many large companies would contract and the US dollar itself would be harmed. If this snowballs and it starts damaging foreign currencies, and in turn, foreign companies it seems like there's almost no way to avoid it.

Are there countries/industries that would be impacted less or not at all? What would you do if you knew, for certain, that it was coming?

(This is just to learn about the markets, don't lambast me for trying to time the markets or anything like that)

I started my 401k very late and luckily i work for a amazing company that has a great match program and stock purchase program. I was just letting my 401k do its own thing for a while until a older employee started talking about how much better he was doing doing the investing himself.

I opened up a brokerage account and just moved 2.5k over to dip my toes into the market.. and i have already doubled that in about two weeks. Complete luck...I have done some research but was wondering if you guys could give me some advice on ways to improve in the long term. Even very common advice will help because i am so new to this. Thanks!!

Edit : Thank you everyone for the awesome advice.

Definitely will look into all of the material everyone recommended!

Edit 2 : Man,you guys are awesome. So much information to take in. Thank you all.

Howdy everybody. Lately, I've been investing more in individual stocks that are undervalued, as opposed to putting it in ETF's that are at ATH. Thus far, my strategy has outperformed the overall market by quite a bit. I'm up 20% since starting this strategy about 6 months ago, versus the overall market being up by about 10% in the same time period. Yes, I understand there's inherently more risk with individual stocks. Also, FWIW, I'm not bragging, just giving some depth to the conversation and my reasoning for asking these questions. Anyway, moving on. I'm looking to expand that number of individual stock holdings, but also diversity into new holdings as opposed to taking bigger positions on what I already own. Im looking for crowd favorites for individual stock holdings. So my question to you all is this: For those who don't have all of their money in ETF's, what is the single stock you hold the most of? How much of that holding represents your overall portfolio? Are these long-term holdings, or have you purchased shares lately? Why is that particular stock your largest individual holding?

I'll leave mine out for the time being because I don't want this to come across as a shilling post or for it to devolve into an argument. I genuinely want to know what you guys are holding. So, how about it, people? What are you holding?

It seems like the more I delve into individual stock picking and trying to outdo SPY my eyes are opening to the blatant bs I mainstream news... but there has to be a resource that is more reliable? Wouldn't some invisible hand or capitalist have come up with objective news? Looking for recommendations and thank you.

Solar seems to be down quite a bit from there 2021 ATH at this point, and I've been watching particular companies within the sector such a ENPH, and was wondering what everyones thoughts are on Solar as a whole and why it's so far down from its 2021 ATH. It's clear to see that its a volatile sector as a whole, but I'm curious on peoples thoughts and if they're bullish on any Solar stocks in particular, if so why? Love to hear any thoughts on the broader sector as well

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As the subject says. I'm pretty much gauging whether I'm gonna inverse tech today or sit it out. Any thoughts? Any Treasuries savvy people in here who know about the auctions and potential impact? Gracias.

First of all, what exactly makes NVIDIA a leader in the field of AI which made their stock go up more than 200% this year, and which companies do you see capable of competing with them in that respect?

I mean, most of big tech like Microsoft (OpenAI partnership), Google, Apple and so on are creating tools in the field of AI or machine learning as Apple likes to call it, so what makes NVIDIA stand out and who can compete with them in that area?

If it's more of a hardware thing, what about AMD, Intel and other chipmakers?

Aside from existing companies, any new (smaller) companies to look out for and why?

It seems like the majority of new retail investors/traders started getting into it around early-2020, after the covid crash, but I still don't really understand why it happened. Personally it was a very difficult time because the market was crashing and the news was getting worse and worse, it was hard to predict what was going to happen. Usually for inexperienced investors that would be a time of extreme fear because prices are rapidly declining, everyone is selling, and the news is bad. So why on earth did a bunch of inexperienced investors decide to suddenly take the risk and buy into the market at the perfect time?

I see all the time people losing money on the stock market, especially day traders, and I always think "Why sell?"

Perhaps I just don't understand the stock market (which I don't I just started learning 4 days ago) but if I were to buy 10 shares of APPL for $100 each and the amount drops down to $80 after I make the purchase, I see so many people just take their loss and go. Why don't they just stay in until their investment hits a profit especially if their investing in a trillion dollar company like APPL or TSLA with good volatility. I understand if the company goes bankrupt suddenly and you want to take your money out but otherwise I just simply don't understand.

Someone please help me clear this up.